British American Tobacco (BATS.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for BATS.L — the calendar windows where British American Tobacco has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
BATS.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, BATS.L's strongest seasonal window has been Apr 25 – May 25: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.01% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, BATS.L has historically declined between Sep 21 – Oct 21, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.75%).
In total, our analysis finds 530 recurring seasonal windows for British American Tobacco — 351 bullish and 179 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 31 – Aug 20, opens in 4 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
BATS.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 14 – Jul 24 | 10d | +1.07% | 80% | +4.34% |
| Completedended 23d ago | Jun 4 – Jul 4 | 30d | +2.62% | 80% | +6.97% |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 20 | 20d | +1.74% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 37d | Sep 2 – Oct 2 | 30d | -2.54% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 38d | Sep 3 – Oct 3 | 30d | -3.02% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 4 – Oct 4 | 30d | -3.23% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Sep 5 – Oct 5 | 30d | -3.18% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore BATS.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
BATS.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy BATS.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, BATS.L's strongest seasonal window starts in April: Apr 25 to May 25, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.01%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is BATS.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
BATS.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Apr 25 – May 25 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.01%.
When has BATS.L historically performed worst?
BATS.L's weakest recurring window has been Sep 21 to Oct 21, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.75%.
How reliable are BATS.L's seasonal patterns?
Each BATS.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. BATS.L currently shows 530 recurring windows (351 bullish, 179 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is BATS.L stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing British American Tobacco's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where BATS.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.