BHP Group (BHP.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for BHP.AX — the calendar windows where BHP Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
BHP.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, BHP.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 17 – Dec 17: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.49% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, BHP.AX has historically declined between Mar 6 – Mar 16, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.84%).
In total, our analysis finds 715 recurring seasonal windows for BHP Group — 564 bullish and 151 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 30 – Sep 9, opens in 34 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
BHP.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +2.29% | 80% | +0.05% |
| Completedended 12d ago | Jun 25 – Jul 15 | 20d | +4.69% | 80% | +3.49% |
| Upcomingin 34d | Aug 30 – Sep 9 | 10d | -1.43% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Sep 29 | 20d | +2.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 53d | Sep 18 – Oct 18 | 30d | +3.04% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 14 | 20d | +2.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 76d | Oct 11 – Oct 31 | 20d | -2.40% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore BHP.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
BHP.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy BHP.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, BHP.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 17 to Dec 17, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.49%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is BHP.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
BHP.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 17 – Dec 17 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.49%.
When has BHP.AX historically performed worst?
BHP.AX's weakest recurring window has been Mar 6 to Mar 16, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.84%.
How reliable are BHP.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each BHP.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. BHP.AX currently shows 715 recurring windows (564 bullish, 151 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is BHP.AX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing BHP Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where BHP.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.