BNP Paribas (BNP.PA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for BNP.PA — the calendar windows where BNP Paribas has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
BNP.PA seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, BNP.PA's strongest seasonal window has been Apr 7 – May 7: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.75% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, BNP.PA has historically declined between Jun 5 – Jun 25, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.79%).
In total, our analysis finds 753 recurring seasonal windows for BNP Paribas — 519 bullish and 234 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 13 – Aug 23, opens in 17 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
BNP.PA's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 58d ago | Apr 30 – May 30 | 30d | +5.02% | 80% | +7.26% |
| Completedended 59d ago | Apr 29 – May 29 | 30d | +3.81% | 80% | +5.74% |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Aug 23 | 10d | -1.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 18 | 30d | +1.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | +2.97% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | +1.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 20d | +2.86% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore BNP.PA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
BNP.PA seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy BNP.PA stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, BNP.PA's strongest seasonal window starts in April: Apr 7 to May 7, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.75%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is BNP.PA's strongest seasonal pattern?
BNP.PA's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Apr 7 – May 7 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.75%.
When has BNP.PA historically performed worst?
BNP.PA's weakest recurring window has been Jun 5 to Jun 25, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.79%.
How reliable are BNP.PA's seasonal patterns?
Each BNP.PA pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. BNP.PA currently shows 753 recurring windows (519 bullish, 234 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is BNP.PA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing BNP Paribas's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where BNP.PA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.