Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for BXMT — the calendar windows where Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
BXMT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, BXMT's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 10 – Nov 9: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.72% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, BXMT has historically declined between Sep 9 – Oct 9, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.17%).
In total, our analysis finds 635 recurring seasonal windows for Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. — 448 bullish and 187 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 3 – Nov 2, opens in 22 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
BXMT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Aug 18 – Sep 7 | 20d | +2.64% | 80% | +0.14% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Aug 27 – Sep 6 | 10d | +1.43% | 80% | +2.82% |
| Upcomingin 22d | Oct 3 – Nov 2 | 30d | +1.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Nov 3 | 30d | +1.65% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Oct 5 – Nov 4 | 30d | +1.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Nov 5 | 30d | +2.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Oct 7 – Oct 17 | 10d | +1.68% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore BXMT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
BXMT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy BXMT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, BXMT's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 10 to Nov 9, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.72%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is BXMT's strongest seasonal pattern?
BXMT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 10 – Nov 9 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.72%.
When has BXMT historically performed worst?
BXMT's weakest recurring window has been Sep 9 to Oct 9, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.17%.
How reliable are BXMT's seasonal patterns?
Each BXMT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. BXMT currently shows 635 recurring windows (448 bullish, 187 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is BXMT stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where BXMT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.