The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CAKE — the calendar windows where The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CAKE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CAKE's strongest seasonal window has been May 25 – Jun 4: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.42% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, CAKE has historically declined between Jul 24 – Aug 3, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.91%).
In total, our analysis finds 834 recurring seasonal windows for The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. — 504 bullish and 330 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CAKE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +3.54% | 80% | +3.06% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +4.18% | 80% | +6.67% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 7 | 10d | -5.35% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | -4.78% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | -4.81% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 9 | 10d | -4.87% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | -2.34% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CAKE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CAKE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CAKE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CAKE's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 25 to Jun 4, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.42%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CAKE's strongest seasonal pattern?
CAKE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 25 – Jun 4 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.42%.
When has CAKE historically performed worst?
CAKE's weakest recurring window has been Jul 24 to Aug 3, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.91%.
How reliable are CAKE's seasonal patterns?
Each CAKE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CAKE currently shows 834 recurring windows (504 bullish, 330 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CAKE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CAKE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.