CarGurus (CARG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CARG — the calendar windows where CarGurus has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 9 years of price history. CarGurus has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 9 available years.
CARG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 9 years, CARG's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 12 – Nov 11: it ended higher in 8 of 9 years (89% win rate) with an average return of +9.69% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CARG has historically declined between Feb 4 – Feb 24, falling in 7 of 8 years (average -8.55%).
In total, our analysis finds 882 recurring seasonal windows for CarGurus — 547 bullish and 335 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 6, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CARG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 17d ago | Sep 19 – Oct 9 | 20d | -5.08% | 88% | -13.13% |
| Completedended 19d ago | Sep 17 – Oct 7 | 20d | -4.72% | 88% | -14.76% |
| Active10d left | Oct 26 – Nov 5 | 10d | +2.42% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 6 | 10d | +5.05% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Nov 9 – Dec 9 | 30d | +4.16% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 51d | Dec 16 – Jan 5 | 20d | -2.78% | 88% | -0.89% |
| Active16d left | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +9.69% | 89% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CARG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CARG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CARG stock?
Based on the last 9 years of price data, CARG's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 12 to Nov 11, which ended higher in 8 of 9 years (89% win rate) with an average return of +9.69%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CARG's strongest seasonal pattern?
CARG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 12 – Nov 11 window (30-day hold): up in 8 of the last 9 years with an average move of +9.69%.
When has CARG historically performed worst?
CARG's weakest recurring window has been Feb 4 to Feb 24, declining in 7 of 8 years with an average return of -8.55%.
How reliable are CARG's seasonal patterns?
Each CARG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 9 years it repeated in the same direction. CARG currently shows 882 recurring windows (547 bullish, 335 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CARG stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing CarGurus's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CARG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.