Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CAT — the calendar windows where Caterpillar Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CAT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CAT's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 26 – Nov 25: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CAT has historically declined between Jan 24 – Feb 3, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.81%).
In total, our analysis finds 756 recurring seasonal windows for Caterpillar Inc. — 654 bullish and 102 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 19 – Oct 19, opens in 8 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CAT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 36d ago | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | -1.80% | 80% | -1.87% |
| Completedended 47d ago | Jul 16 – Jul 26 | 10d | +2.07% | 80% | +1.51% |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Oct 19 | 30d | +2.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Sep 20 – Oct 20 | 30d | +3.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 11 | 20d | +2.83% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 21 | 30d | +4.29% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Sep 22 – Oct 22 | 30d | +3.81% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CAT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CAT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CAT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CAT's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 26 to Nov 25, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CAT's strongest seasonal pattern?
CAT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 26 – Nov 25 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.12%.
When has CAT historically performed worst?
CAT's weakest recurring window has been Jan 24 to Feb 3, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.81%.
How reliable are CAT's seasonal patterns?
Each CAT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CAT currently shows 756 recurring windows (654 bullish, 102 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CAT stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Caterpillar Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CAT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.