Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CHDN — the calendar windows where Churchill Downs Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CHDN seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CHDN's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 12 – Nov 22: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.04% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, CHDN has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -6.44%).
In total, our analysis finds 757 recurring seasonal windows for Churchill Downs Inc. — 601 bullish and 156 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 12, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CHDN's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 12d ago | Jun 25 – Jul 15 | 20d | +2.45% | 80% | +0.81% |
| Completedended 27d ago | Jun 20 – Jun 30 | 10d | +2.43% | 80% | +1.55% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +4.53% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +5.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +6.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +4.43% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 23 | 20d | +4.68% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CHDN seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CHDN seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CHDN stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CHDN's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 12 to Nov 22, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.04%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CHDN's strongest seasonal pattern?
CHDN's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 12 – Nov 22 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.04%.
When has CHDN historically performed worst?
CHDN's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -6.44%.
How reliable are CHDN's seasonal patterns?
Each CHDN pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CHDN currently shows 757 recurring windows (601 bullish, 156 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CHDN stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Churchill Downs Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CHDN has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.