Choice Hotels (CHH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CHH — the calendar windows where Choice Hotels has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CHH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CHH's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 27 – Nov 6: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.05% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, CHH has historically declined between May 2 – May 12, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.22%).
In total, our analysis finds 627 recurring seasonal windows for Choice Hotels — 416 bullish and 211 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 9 – Nov 8, opens in 74 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CHH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 8d ago | Jun 29 – Jul 19 | 20d | +3.19% | 90% | +0.15% |
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +2.40% | 80% | +5.12% |
| Upcomingin 74d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +3.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 76d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +5.11% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 77d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +4.00% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 78d | Oct 13 – Nov 12 | 30d | +4.02% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 79d | Oct 14 – Nov 3 | 20d | +1.04% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CHH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CHH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CHH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CHH's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 27 to Nov 6, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.05%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CHH's strongest seasonal pattern?
CHH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 27 – Nov 6 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.05%.
When has CHH historically performed worst?
CHH's weakest recurring window has been May 2 to May 12, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.22%.
How reliable are CHH's seasonal patterns?
Each CHH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CHH currently shows 627 recurring windows (416 bullish, 211 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CHH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Choice Hotels's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CHH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.