CIBC (CM.TO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CM.TO — the calendar windows where CIBC has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CM.TO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CM.TO's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.31% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CM.TO has historically declined between Jun 4 – Jun 14, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.37%).
In total, our analysis finds 588 recurring seasonal windows for CIBC — 510 bullish and 78 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 16 – Sep 15, opens in 20 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CM.TO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +1.97% | 90% | +1.47% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +2.23% | 80% | +1.88% |
| Upcomingin 20d | Aug 16 – Sep 15 | 30d | +3.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Aug 17 – Sep 16 | 30d | +3.78% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 22d | Aug 18 – Sep 17 | 30d | +3.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 18 | 30d | +3.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | +4.13% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CM.TO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CM.TO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CM.TO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CM.TO's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.31%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CM.TO's strongest seasonal pattern?
CM.TO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.31%.
When has CM.TO historically performed worst?
CM.TO's weakest recurring window has been Jun 4 to Jun 14, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.37%.
How reliable are CM.TO's seasonal patterns?
Each CM.TO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CM.TO currently shows 588 recurring windows (510 bullish, 78 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CM.TO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing CIBC's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CM.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.