Commercial Metals (CMC) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CMC — the calendar windows where Commercial Metals has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CMC seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CMC's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 27 – Jul 27: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.37% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CMC has historically declined between Aug 13 – Sep 12, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.89%).
In total, our analysis finds 756 recurring seasonal windows for Commercial Metals — 569 bullish and 187 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 7 – Sep 6, opens in 11 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CMC's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +2.70% | 80% | +10.58% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +3.08% | 90% | +10.58% |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | -1.66% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Aug 8 – Sep 7 | 30d | -2.30% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Sep 8 | 30d | -2.64% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | -3.87% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Sep 11 | 30d | -3.41% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CMC seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CMC seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CMC stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CMC's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 27 to Jul 27, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.37%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CMC's strongest seasonal pattern?
CMC's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 27 – Jul 27 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.37%.
When has CMC historically performed worst?
CMC's weakest recurring window has been Aug 13 to Sep 12, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.89%.
How reliable are CMC's seasonal patterns?
Each CMC pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CMC currently shows 756 recurring windows (569 bullish, 187 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CMC stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Commercial Metals's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CMC has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.