Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CMG — the calendar windows where Chipotle Mexican Grill has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CMG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CMG's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 18 – Apr 17: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.97% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CMG has historically declined between Dec 15 – Jan 4, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.79%).
In total, our analysis finds 759 recurring seasonal windows for Chipotle Mexican Grill — 526 bullish and 233 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Sep 1, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CMG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 20d ago | Jun 27 – Jul 7 | 10d | +1.62% | 80% | +3.03% |
| Completedended 69d ago | Apr 29 – May 19 | 20d | +1.10% | 80% | +0.15% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +3.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +3.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 24 | 20d | +1.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | +2.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 25 | 20d | +2.45% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CMG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CMG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CMG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CMG's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 18 to Apr 17, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.97%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CMG's strongest seasonal pattern?
CMG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 18 – Apr 17 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +12.97%.
When has CMG historically performed worst?
CMG's weakest recurring window has been Dec 15 to Jan 4, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.79%.
How reliable are CMG's seasonal patterns?
Each CMG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CMG currently shows 759 recurring windows (526 bullish, 233 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CMG stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Chipotle Mexican Grill's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CMG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.