Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for CNQ.TO — the calendar windows where Canadian Natural Resources has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
CNQ.TO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, CNQ.TO's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 18 – Apr 17: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +13.93% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, CNQ.TO has historically declined between Jan 29 – Feb 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 770 recurring seasonal windows for Canadian Natural Resources — 596 bullish and 174 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Oct 12, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
CNQ.TO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +4.59% | 80% | +7.29% |
| Completedended 10d ago | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +4.02% | 90% | +7.92% |
| Active20d left | Sep 11 – Oct 1 | 20d | +2.46% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Sep 11 – Oct 11 | 30d | +5.51% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Oct 12 | 30d | +4.83% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Sep 13 – Oct 3 | 20d | +2.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Sep 13 – Oct 13 | 30d | +5.40% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore CNQ.TO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
CNQ.TO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy CNQ.TO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, CNQ.TO's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 18 to Apr 17, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +13.93%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is CNQ.TO's strongest seasonal pattern?
CNQ.TO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 18 – Apr 17 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +13.93%.
When has CNQ.TO historically performed worst?
CNQ.TO's weakest recurring window has been Jan 29 to Feb 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.43%.
How reliable are CNQ.TO's seasonal patterns?
Each CNQ.TO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. CNQ.TO currently shows 770 recurring windows (596 bullish, 174 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is CNQ.TO stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Canadian Natural Resources's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where CNQ.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.