Capital One (COF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for COF — the calendar windows where Capital One has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
COF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, COF's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.31% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, COF has historically declined between Jul 23 – Aug 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.97%).
In total, our analysis finds 839 recurring seasonal windows for Capital One — 628 bullish and 211 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 29 – Sep 8, opens in 33 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
COF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +4.50% | 90% | +1.09% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +4.17% | 90% | +0.33% |
| Upcomingin 33d | Aug 29 – Sep 8 | 10d | -2.24% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Sep 19 | 10d | +2.19% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 45d | Sep 10 – Sep 20 | 10d | +2.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 54d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -2.29% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +1.83% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore COF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
COF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy COF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, COF's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.31%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is COF's strongest seasonal pattern?
COF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.31%.
When has COF historically performed worst?
COF's weakest recurring window has been Jul 23 to Aug 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.97%.
How reliable are COF's seasonal patterns?
Each COF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. COF currently shows 839 recurring windows (628 bullish, 211 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is COF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Capital One's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where COF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.