Coinbase (COIN) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for COIN — the calendar windows where Coinbase has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 5 years of price history. Coinbase has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 5 available years.
COIN seasonality at a glance
Over the last 5 years, COIN's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 22 – Jul 22: it ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +32.39% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, COIN has historically declined between Mar 22 – Apr 21, falling in 4 of 4 years (average -18.73%).
In total, our analysis finds 989 recurring seasonal windows for Coinbase — 560 bullish and 429 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Sep 1, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
COIN's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +20.41% | 80% | +7.36% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +25.44% | 80% | +1.88% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | -3.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | -6.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | -9.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | -10.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | -11.07% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore COIN seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
COIN seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy COIN stock?
Based on the last 5 years of price data, COIN's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 22 to Jul 22, which ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +32.39%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is COIN's strongest seasonal pattern?
COIN's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 22 – Jul 22 window (30-day hold): up in 5 of the last 5 years with an average move of +32.39%.
When has COIN historically performed worst?
COIN's weakest recurring window has been Mar 22 to Apr 21, declining in 4 of 4 years with an average return of -18.73%.
How reliable are COIN's seasonal patterns?
Each COIN pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 5 years it repeated in the same direction. COIN currently shows 989 recurring windows (560 bullish, 429 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is COIN stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Coinbase's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where COIN has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.