ConocoPhillips (COP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for COP — the calendar windows where ConocoPhillips has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
COP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, COP's strongest seasonal window has been Sep 8 – Oct 8: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.64% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, COP has historically declined between Jan 13 – Jan 23, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.28%).
In total, our analysis finds 749 recurring seasonal windows for ConocoPhillips — 537 bullish and 212 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
COP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 47d ago | May 31 – Jun 10 | 10d | +3.50% | 90% | +5.21% |
| Completedended 48d ago | May 30 – Jun 9 | 10d | +3.74% | 90% | +2.47% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 7 | 10d | -1.93% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | -1.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | +1.81% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | -1.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +1.52% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore COP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
COP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy COP stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, COP's strongest seasonal window starts in September: Sep 8 to Oct 8, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.64%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is COP's strongest seasonal pattern?
COP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Sep 8 – Oct 8 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.64%.
When has COP historically performed worst?
COP's weakest recurring window has been Jan 13 to Jan 23, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.28%.
How reliable are COP's seasonal patterns?
Each COP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. COP currently shows 749 recurring windows (537 bullish, 212 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is COP stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing ConocoPhillips's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where COP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.