Dropbox (DBX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for DBX — the calendar windows where Dropbox has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 8 years of price history. Dropbox has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 8 available years.
DBX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 8 years, DBX's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 10 – Feb 9: it ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.56% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, DBX has historically declined between Feb 8 – Mar 10, falling in 7 of 7 years (average -14.24%).
In total, our analysis finds 768 recurring seasonal windows for Dropbox — 462 bullish and 306 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 11 – Oct 1, opens in 46 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
DBX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 16d ago | Jun 11 – Jul 11 | 30d | +5.49% | 88% | +8.19% |
| Completedended 17d ago | Jun 10 – Jul 10 | 30d | +4.44% | 88% | +5.57% |
| Upcomingin 46d | Sep 11 – Oct 1 | 20d | -3.18% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 49d | Sep 14 – Oct 4 | 20d | -3.43% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 137d | Dec 11 – Dec 21 | 10d | +1.52% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 142d | Dec 16 – Jan 5 | 20d | -2.21% | 86% | -5.70% |
| Upcomingin 143d | Dec 17 – Jan 6 | 20d | -1.96% | 86% | -6.06% |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore DBX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
DBX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy DBX stock?
Based on the last 8 years of price data, DBX's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 10 to Feb 9, which ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.56%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is DBX's strongest seasonal pattern?
DBX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 10 – Feb 9 window (30-day hold): up in 7 of the last 7 years with an average move of +7.56%.
When has DBX historically performed worst?
DBX's weakest recurring window has been Feb 8 to Mar 10, declining in 7 of 7 years with an average return of -14.24%.
How reliable are DBX's seasonal patterns?
Each DBX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 8 years it repeated in the same direction. DBX currently shows 768 recurring windows (462 bullish, 306 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is DBX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Dropbox's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where DBX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.