Dollar Tree (DLTR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for DLTR — the calendar windows where Dollar Tree has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
DLTR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, DLTR's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 18 – Apr 7: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.33% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, DLTR has historically declined between Feb 20 – Mar 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.25%).
In total, our analysis finds 768 recurring seasonal windows for Dollar Tree — 511 bullish and 257 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 16, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
DLTR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Oct 3 – Oct 23 | 20d | +3.15% | 80% | +11.72% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Oct 2 – Oct 22 | 20d | +3.73% | 80% | +16.83% |
| Active10d left | Oct 26 – Nov 5 | 10d | +2.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +4.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +1.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 17 | 20d | +4.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Oct 29 – Nov 8 | 10d | +1.82% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore DLTR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
DLTR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy DLTR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, DLTR's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 18 to Apr 7, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.33%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is DLTR's strongest seasonal pattern?
DLTR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 18 – Apr 7 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.33%.
When has DLTR historically performed worst?
DLTR's weakest recurring window has been Feb 20 to Mar 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.25%.
How reliable are DLTR's seasonal patterns?
Each DLTR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. DLTR currently shows 768 recurring windows (511 bullish, 257 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is DLTR stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Dollar Tree's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where DLTR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.