Duolingo (DUOL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for DUOL — the calendar windows where Duolingo has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 5 years of price history. Duolingo has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 5 available years.
DUOL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 5 years, DUOL's strongest seasonal window has been Aug 28 – Sep 27: it ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +22.30% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, DUOL has historically declined between Feb 15 – Feb 25, falling in 4 of 4 years (average -10.26%).
In total, our analysis finds 956 recurring seasonal windows for Duolingo — 517 bullish and 439 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 14 – Oct 14, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
DUOL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Aug 28 – Sep 7 | 10d | +7.93% | 80% | +5.09% |
| Completedended 48d ago | Jul 15 – Jul 25 | 10d | -4.92% | 100% | -6.84% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Sep 14 – Oct 14 | 30d | +3.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Sep 15 – Oct 5 | 20d | +6.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Sep 16 – Oct 6 | 20d | +3.93% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Sep 20 – Oct 10 | 20d | +4.95% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 11 | 20d | +3.21% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore DUOL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
DUOL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy DUOL stock?
Based on the last 5 years of price data, DUOL's strongest seasonal window starts in August: Aug 28 to Sep 27, which ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +22.30%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is DUOL's strongest seasonal pattern?
DUOL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Aug 28 – Sep 27 window (30-day hold): up in 5 of the last 5 years with an average move of +22.30%.
When has DUOL historically performed worst?
DUOL's weakest recurring window has been Feb 15 to Feb 25, declining in 4 of 4 years with an average return of -10.26%.
How reliable are DUOL's seasonal patterns?
Each DUOL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 5 years it repeated in the same direction. DUOL currently shows 956 recurring windows (517 bullish, 439 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is DUOL stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Duolingo's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where DUOL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.