eBay Inc. (EBAY) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for EBAY — the calendar windows where eBay Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
705
Upcoming this year
56
Bullish windows
498
Best win rate
100%

EBAY seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, EBAY's strongest seasonal window has been May 19 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.86% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, EBAY has historically declined between Oct 10 – Nov 9, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.96%).

In total, our analysis finds 705 recurring seasonal windows for eBay Inc.498 bullish and 207 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 16 – Sep 26, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

EBAY's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 43d agoJun 30 – Jul 3030d+5.98%80%+1.58%
Completedended 44d agoJun 29 – Jul 2930d+6.97%90%+4.06%
Upcomingin 5dSep 16 – Sep 2610d-1.46%80%
Upcomingin 19dSep 30 – Oct 3030d-5.49%80%
Upcomingin 20dOct 1 – Oct 3130d-5.66%80%
Upcomingin 21dOct 2 – Nov 130d-5.44%80%
Upcomingin 22dOct 3 – Nov 230d-6.16%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore EBAY seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

EBAY seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy EBAY stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, EBAY's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 19 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.86%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is EBAY's strongest seasonal pattern?

EBAY's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 19 – Jun 8 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.86%.

When has EBAY historically performed worst?

EBAY's weakest recurring window has been Oct 10 to Nov 9, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.96%.

How reliable are EBAY's seasonal patterns?

Each EBAY pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. EBAY currently shows 705 recurring windows (498 bullish, 207 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is EBAY stock seasonality?

Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing eBay Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where EBAY has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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