Ellington Financial, Inc. (EFC) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for EFC — the calendar windows where Ellington Financial, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
EFC seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, EFC's strongest seasonal window has been May 13 – Jun 12: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.90% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, EFC has historically declined between Aug 31 – Sep 30, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.37%).
In total, our analysis finds 717 recurring seasonal windows for Ellington Financial, Inc. — 513 bullish and 204 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 31 – Aug 30, opens in 4 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
EFC's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 10d ago | Jul 7 – Jul 17 | 10d | +2.64% | 90% | +0.37% |
| Completedended 10d ago | Jun 27 – Jul 17 | 20d | +2.23% | 80% | +0.66% |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +2.27% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +2.03% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +2.23% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +2.34% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +2.43% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore EFC seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
EFC seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy EFC stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, EFC's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 13 to Jun 12, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.90%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is EFC's strongest seasonal pattern?
EFC's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 13 – Jun 12 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.90%.
When has EFC historically performed worst?
EFC's weakest recurring window has been Aug 31 to Sep 30, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.37%.
How reliable are EFC's seasonal patterns?
Each EFC pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. EFC currently shows 717 recurring windows (513 bullish, 204 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is EFC stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Ellington Financial, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where EFC has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.