e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ELF — the calendar windows where e.l.f. Beauty has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ELF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ELF's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 1 – Jun 21: it ended higher in 9 of 9 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.34% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, ELF has historically declined between Feb 26 – Mar 18, falling in 8 of 9 years (average -8.24%).
In total, our analysis finds 838 recurring seasonal windows for e.l.f. Beauty — 541 bullish and 297 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 7 – Sep 27, opens in 42 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ELF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 30d ago | Jun 17 – Jun 27 | 10d | +3.91% | 89% | +8.27% |
| Completedended 30d ago | Jun 7 – Jun 27 | 20d | +5.92% | 89% | +36.03% |
| Upcomingin 42d | Sep 7 – Sep 27 | 20d | -4.74% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 89d | Oct 24 – Nov 23 | 30d | +4.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 96d | Oct 31 – Nov 20 | 20d | +4.93% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 104d | Nov 8 – Nov 28 | 20d | +7.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 104d | Nov 8 – Dec 8 | 30d | +8.20% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ELF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ELF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ELF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ELF's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 1 to Jun 21, which ended higher in 9 of 9 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.34%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ELF's strongest seasonal pattern?
ELF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 1 – Jun 21 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 9 years with an average move of +7.34%.
When has ELF historically performed worst?
ELF's weakest recurring window has been Feb 26 to Mar 18, declining in 8 of 9 years with an average return of -8.24%.
How reliable are ELF's seasonal patterns?
Each ELF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ELF currently shows 838 recurring windows (541 bullish, 297 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ELF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing e.l.f. Beauty's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ELF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.