Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ERIE — the calendar windows where Erie Indemnity has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ERIE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ERIE's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 15 – Aug 4: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.93% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, ERIE has historically declined between Mar 5 – Mar 25, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.38%).
In total, our analysis finds 583 recurring seasonal windows for Erie Indemnity — 453 bullish and 130 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 21, opens in 4 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ERIE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 1d ago | Jul 17 – Jul 27 | 10d | +1.19% | 80% | +0.42% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 15 – Jul 25 | 10d | +1.89% | 80% | +2.06% |
| Upcomingin 4d | Aug 1 – Aug 21 | 20d | +3.94% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 55d | Sep 21 – Oct 11 | 20d | +2.38% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 55d | Sep 21 – Oct 21 | 30d | +3.26% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 56d | Sep 22 – Oct 12 | 20d | +2.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 61d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +2.89% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ERIE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ERIE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ERIE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ERIE's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 15 to Aug 4, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.93%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ERIE's strongest seasonal pattern?
ERIE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 15 – Aug 4 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.93%.
When has ERIE historically performed worst?
ERIE's weakest recurring window has been Mar 5 to Mar 25, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.38%.
How reliable are ERIE's seasonal patterns?
Each ERIE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ERIE currently shows 583 recurring windows (453 bullish, 130 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ERIE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Erie Indemnity's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ERIE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.