Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ESNT — the calendar windows where Essent Group Ltd. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ESNT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ESNT's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 25 – Aug 24: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.53% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ESNT has historically declined between Feb 16 – Feb 26, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.52%).
In total, our analysis finds 705 recurring seasonal windows for Essent Group Ltd. — 504 bullish and 201 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 18 – Sep 28, opens in 7 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ESNT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +5.01% | 80% | +3.88% |
| Completedended 10d ago | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +5.26% | 90% | +3.76% |
| Upcomingin 7d | Sep 18 – Sep 28 | 10d | -1.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -2.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Oct 9 | 20d | -2.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Sep 26 – Oct 16 | 20d | +3.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +3.98% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ESNT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ESNT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ESNT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ESNT's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 25 to Aug 24, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.53%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ESNT's strongest seasonal pattern?
ESNT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 25 – Aug 24 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.53%.
When has ESNT historically performed worst?
ESNT's weakest recurring window has been Feb 16 to Feb 26, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.52%.
How reliable are ESNT's seasonal patterns?
Each ESNT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ESNT currently shows 705 recurring windows (504 bullish, 201 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ESNT stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Essent Group Ltd.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ESNT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.