Exelixis (EXEL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for EXEL — the calendar windows where Exelixis has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
EXEL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, EXEL's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 11 – Jan 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.55% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, EXEL has historically declined between Sep 21 – Oct 11, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.55%).
In total, our analysis finds 781 recurring seasonal windows for Exelixis — 623 bullish and 158 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Oct 12, opens in 47 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
EXEL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +2.34% | 80% | +7.07% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jun 21 – Jul 21 | 30d | +3.24% | 80% | +8.11% |
| Upcomingin 47d | Sep 12 – Oct 12 | 30d | -3.29% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Sep 13 – Oct 13 | 30d | -2.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 49d | Sep 14 – Sep 24 | 10d | -1.50% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 49d | Sep 14 – Oct 14 | 30d | -5.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 51d | Sep 16 – Sep 26 | 10d | -2.89% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore EXEL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
EXEL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy EXEL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, EXEL's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 11 to Jan 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.55%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is EXEL's strongest seasonal pattern?
EXEL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 11 – Jan 10 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.55%.
When has EXEL historically performed worst?
EXEL's weakest recurring window has been Sep 21 to Oct 11, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.55%.
How reliable are EXEL's seasonal patterns?
Each EXEL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. EXEL currently shows 781 recurring windows (623 bullish, 158 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is EXEL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Exelixis's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where EXEL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.