FedEx (FDX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FDX — the calendar windows where FedEx has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
FDX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FDX's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 30: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.01% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, FDX has historically declined between Dec 2 – Jan 1, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -4.66%).
In total, our analysis finds 683 recurring seasonal windows for FedEx — 449 bullish and 234 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 6 – Aug 16, opens in 10 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FDX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +1.52% | 80% | +0.60% |
| Completedended 15d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 12 | 10d | +1.70% | 80% | +0.54% |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Aug 16 | 10d | +2.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 33d | Aug 29 – Sep 8 | 10d | -1.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 71d | Oct 6 – Nov 5 | 30d | +3.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 72d | Oct 7 – Oct 27 | 20d | +1.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 72d | Oct 7 – Nov 6 | 30d | +3.61% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FDX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FDX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FDX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FDX's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 30, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.01%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FDX's strongest seasonal pattern?
FDX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 30 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.01%.
When has FDX historically performed worst?
FDX's weakest recurring window has been Dec 2 to Jan 1, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -4.66%.
How reliable are FDX's seasonal patterns?
Each FDX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FDX currently shows 683 recurring windows (449 bullish, 234 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FDX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing FedEx's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FDX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.