Fortescue (FMG.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FMG.AX — the calendar windows where Fortescue has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
FMG.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FMG.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 21 – Dec 21: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.57% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, FMG.AX has historically declined between Feb 18 – Feb 28, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -4.80%).
In total, our analysis finds 803 recurring seasonal windows for Fortescue — 690 bullish and 113 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 15 – Aug 25, opens in 19 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FMG.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 7d ago | Jul 10 – Jul 20 | 10d | +3.27% | 90% | +1.62% |
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +3.73% | 80% | +2.55% |
| Upcomingin 19d | Aug 15 – Aug 25 | 10d | +1.53% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +1.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 70d | Oct 5 – Oct 15 | 10d | +1.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 77d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +5.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 82d | Oct 17 – Nov 16 | 30d | +6.16% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FMG.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FMG.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FMG.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FMG.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 21 to Dec 21, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.57%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FMG.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
FMG.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 21 – Dec 21 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +12.57%.
When has FMG.AX historically performed worst?
FMG.AX's weakest recurring window has been Feb 18 to Feb 28, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -4.80%.
How reliable are FMG.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each FMG.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FMG.AX currently shows 803 recurring windows (690 bullish, 113 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FMG.AX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Fortescue's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FMG.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.