Shift4 (FOUR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FOUR — the calendar windows where Shift4 has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 6 years of price history. Shift4 has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 6 available years.
FOUR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 6 years, FOUR's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 5 – Nov 15: it ended higher in 6 of 6 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +15.67% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, FOUR has historically declined between Feb 15 – Feb 25, falling in 5 of 5 years (average -10.83%).
In total, our analysis finds 875 recurring seasonal windows for Shift4 — 543 bullish and 332 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 28 – Oct 8, opens in 17 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FOUR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 2d ago | Aug 30 – Sep 9 | 10d | -3.35% | 83% | -6.44% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Aug 29 – Sep 8 | 10d | -4.39% | 100% | -3.80% |
| Upcomingin 17d | Sep 28 – Oct 8 | 10d | +2.27% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 22d | Oct 3 – Nov 2 | 30d | -9.49% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Nov 3 | 30d | -10.35% | 100% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Oct 5 – Nov 4 | 30d | -10.48% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Oct 26 | 20d | -5.24% | 83% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FOUR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FOUR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FOUR stock?
Based on the last 6 years of price data, FOUR's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 5 to Nov 15, which ended higher in 6 of 6 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +15.67%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FOUR's strongest seasonal pattern?
FOUR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 5 – Nov 15 window (10-day hold): up in 6 of the last 6 years with an average move of +15.67%.
When has FOUR historically performed worst?
FOUR's weakest recurring window has been Feb 15 to Feb 25, declining in 5 of 5 years with an average return of -10.83%.
How reliable are FOUR's seasonal patterns?
Each FOUR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 6 years it repeated in the same direction. FOUR currently shows 875 recurring windows (543 bullish, 332 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FOUR stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Shift4's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FOUR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.