Fresnillo (FRES.L) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for FRES.L — the calendar windows where Fresnillo has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
841
Upcoming this year
27
Bullish windows
607
Best win rate
100%

FRES.L seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, FRES.L's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 11 – Apr 10: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.02% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, FRES.L has historically declined between Feb 21 – Mar 3, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.85%).

In total, our analysis finds 841 recurring seasonal windows for Fresnillo607 bullish and 234 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 8, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

FRES.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 4d agoJul 13 – Jul 2310d-1.17%80%-2.42%
Completedended 53d agoMay 5 – Jun 430d+6.52%90%+2.22%
Upcomingin 2dJul 29 – Aug 810d-1.97%80%
Upcomingin 14dAug 10 – Aug 2010d-1.50%80%
Upcomingin 16dAug 12 – Aug 2210d-1.61%80%
Upcomingin 20dAug 16 – Aug 2610d+2.02%90%
Upcomingin 21dAug 17 – Aug 2710d+1.80%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore FRES.L seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

FRES.L seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy FRES.L stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, FRES.L's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 11 to Apr 10, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.02%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is FRES.L's strongest seasonal pattern?

FRES.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 11 – Apr 10 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.02%.

When has FRES.L historically performed worst?

FRES.L's weakest recurring window has been Feb 21 to Mar 3, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.85%.

How reliable are FRES.L's seasonal patterns?

Each FRES.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FRES.L currently shows 841 recurring windows (607 bullish, 234 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is FRES.L stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Fresnillo's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FRES.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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