Fresnillo (FRES.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FRES.L — the calendar windows where Fresnillo has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
FRES.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FRES.L's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 11 – Apr 10: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.02% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, FRES.L has historically declined between Feb 21 – Mar 3, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.85%).
In total, our analysis finds 841 recurring seasonal windows for Fresnillo — 607 bullish and 234 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 6, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FRES.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 10d ago | Oct 6 – Oct 16 | 10d | +3.09% | 80% | +0.59% |
| Completedended 36d ago | Sep 10 – Sep 20 | 10d | +1.96% | 80% | +2.57% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 6 | 10d | +1.23% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Nov 30 – Dec 30 | 30d | +7.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 41d | Dec 6 – Dec 16 | 10d | +2.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Dec 8 – Dec 28 | 20d | +4.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Dec 9 – Dec 29 | 20d | +4.64% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FRES.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FRES.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FRES.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FRES.L's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 11 to Apr 10, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.02%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FRES.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
FRES.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 11 – Apr 10 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.02%.
When has FRES.L historically performed worst?
FRES.L's weakest recurring window has been Feb 21 to Mar 3, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.85%.
How reliable are FRES.L's seasonal patterns?
Each FRES.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FRES.L currently shows 841 recurring windows (607 bullish, 234 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FRES.L stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Fresnillo's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FRES.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.