Fidelity Total Market Index Fund (FSKAX) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for FSKAX — the calendar windows where Fidelity Total Market Index Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
512
Upcoming this year
111
Bullish windows
443
Best win rate
100%

FSKAX seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, FSKAX's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 30 – Nov 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.27% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, FSKAX has historically declined between Feb 22 – Mar 24, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -2.45%).

In total, our analysis finds 512 recurring seasonal windows for Fidelity Total Market Index Fund443 bullish and 69 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Sep 1, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

FSKAX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 4d agoJun 23 – Jul 2330d+3.30%100%+0.49%
Completedended 5d agoJun 22 – Jul 2230d+3.47%100%+0.26%
Upcomingin 6dAug 2 – Sep 130d+2.23%80%
Upcomingin 7dAug 3 – Sep 230d+1.96%80%
Upcomingin 8dAug 4 – Sep 330d+1.18%80%
Upcomingin 9dAug 5 – Sep 430d+1.69%90%
Upcomingin 10dAug 6 – Sep 530d+1.19%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore FSKAX seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

FSKAX seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy FSKAX stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, FSKAX's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 30 to Nov 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.27%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is FSKAX's strongest seasonal pattern?

FSKAX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 30 – Nov 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.27%.

When has FSKAX historically performed worst?

FSKAX's weakest recurring window has been Feb 22 to Mar 24, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -2.45%.

How reliable are FSKAX's seasonal patterns?

Each FSKAX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FSKAX currently shows 512 recurring windows (443 bullish, 69 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is FSKAX stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Fidelity Total Market Index Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FSKAX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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