iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FXI — the calendar windows where iShares China Large-Cap ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
FXI seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FXI's strongest seasonal window has been May 27 – Jun 6: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.02% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, FXI has historically declined between Oct 21 – Oct 31, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.21%).
In total, our analysis finds 543 recurring seasonal windows for iShares China Large-Cap ETF — 357 bullish and 186 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 20 – Oct 30, opens in 39 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FXI's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 6d ago | Aug 16 – Sep 5 | 20d | +1.36% | 80% | +2.84% |
| Completedended 7d ago | Aug 15 – Sep 4 | 20d | +1.65% | 80% | +2.84% |
| Upcomingin 39d | Oct 20 – Oct 30 | 10d | -1.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Oct 21 – Oct 31 | 10d | -2.21% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 47d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +3.19% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 57d | Nov 7 – Dec 7 | 30d | -1.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 68d | Nov 18 – Dec 18 | 30d | -1.11% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FXI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FXI seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FXI stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FXI's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 27 to Jun 6, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.02%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FXI's strongest seasonal pattern?
FXI's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 27 – Jun 6 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.02%.
When has FXI historically performed worst?
FXI's weakest recurring window has been Oct 21 to Oct 31, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.21%.
How reliable are FXI's seasonal patterns?
Each FXI pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FXI currently shows 543 recurring windows (357 bullish, 186 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FXI stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares China Large-Cap ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FXI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.