iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FXI — the calendar windows where iShares China Large-Cap ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
FXI seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FXI's strongest seasonal window has been May 27 – Jun 6: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.02% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, FXI has historically declined between Oct 21 – Oct 31, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.21%).
In total, our analysis finds 543 recurring seasonal windows for iShares China Large-Cap ETF — 357 bullish and 186 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 8, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FXI's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 37d ago | Jun 10 – Jun 20 | 10d | -1.07% | 80% | -3.45% |
| Completedended 54d ago | May 24 – Jun 3 | 10d | +2.88% | 80% | +0.06% |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | -1.47% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +2.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 25 | 20d | +1.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Aug 26 | 20d | +1.46% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Aug 27 | 20d | +1.45% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FXI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FXI seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy FXI stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FXI's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 27 to Jun 6, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.02%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FXI's strongest seasonal pattern?
FXI's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 27 – Jun 6 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.02%.
When has FXI historically performed worst?
FXI's weakest recurring window has been Oct 21 to Oct 31, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.21%.
How reliable are FXI's seasonal patterns?
Each FXI pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FXI currently shows 543 recurring windows (357 bullish, 186 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is FXI stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares China Large-Cap ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FXI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.