SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for GLD — the calendar windows where SPDR Gold Shares has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
GLD seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, GLD's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 14 – Jan 13: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.49% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, GLD has historically declined between Sep 7 – Sep 27, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.03%).
In total, our analysis finds 431 recurring seasonal windows for SPDR Gold Shares — 422 bullish and 9 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Aug 29, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
GLD's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 96d ago | Apr 2 – Apr 22 | 20d | +2.28% | 80% | +1.36% |
| Completedended 97d ago | Mar 22 – Apr 21 | 30d | +4.26% | 90% | +3.92% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Aug 29 | 10d | +1.46% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Sep 7 – Sep 27 | 20d | -1.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 60d | Sep 25 – Oct 25 | 30d | +1.72% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 61d | Sep 26 – Oct 26 | 30d | +1.88% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 62d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +1.79% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore GLD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
GLD seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy GLD stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, GLD's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 14 to Jan 13, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.49%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is GLD's strongest seasonal pattern?
GLD's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 14 – Jan 13 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.49%.
When has GLD historically performed worst?
GLD's weakest recurring window has been Sep 7 to Sep 27, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.03%.
How reliable are GLD's seasonal patterns?
Each GLD pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. GLD currently shows 431 recurring windows (422 bullish, 9 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is GLD stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing SPDR Gold Shares's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where GLD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.