Grocery Outlet (GO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for GO — the calendar windows where Grocery Outlet has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 7 years of price history. Grocery Outlet has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 7 available years.
GO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 7 years, GO's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 20 – Jul 20: it ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.00% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, GO has historically declined between Sep 2 – Oct 2, falling in 7 of 7 years (average -12.51%).
In total, our analysis finds 884 recurring seasonal windows for Grocery Outlet — 383 bullish and 501 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 18 – Nov 28, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
GO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 19d ago | Sep 7 – Oct 7 | 30d | -9.23% | 86% | -3.55% |
| Completedended 20d ago | Sep 16 – Oct 6 | 20d | -5.33% | 86% | -0.44% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Nov 18 – Nov 28 | 10d | +4.91% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Nov 20 – Nov 30 | 10d | +4.82% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Nov 22 – Dec 12 | 20d | -2.09% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Nov 24 – Dec 4 | 10d | +1.53% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 34d | Nov 29 – Dec 19 | 20d | -4.86% | 86% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore GO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
GO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy GO stock?
Based on the last 7 years of price data, GO's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 20 to Jul 20, which ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.00%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is GO's strongest seasonal pattern?
GO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 20 – Jul 20 window (30-day hold): up in 7 of the last 7 years with an average move of +12.00%.
When has GO historically performed worst?
GO's weakest recurring window has been Sep 2 to Oct 2, declining in 7 of 7 years with an average return of -12.51%.
How reliable are GO's seasonal patterns?
Each GO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 7 years it repeated in the same direction. GO currently shows 884 recurring windows (383 bullish, 501 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is GO stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Grocery Outlet's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where GO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.