HCA Healthcare (HCA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for HCA — the calendar windows where HCA Healthcare has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
HCA seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, HCA's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 18 – Feb 17: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.85% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, HCA has historically declined between Sep 8 – Oct 8, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.11%).
In total, our analysis finds 760 recurring seasonal windows for HCA Healthcare — 610 bullish and 150 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 12, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
HCA's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 141d ago | Feb 26 – Mar 8 | 10d | +1.11% | 80% | +1.32% |
| Completedended 152d ago | Jan 26 – Feb 25 | 30d | +4.50% | 80% | +14.44% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +1.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 25 | 20d | +2.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +3.30% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | +2.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Aug 8 – Sep 7 | 30d | +2.95% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore HCA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
HCA seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy HCA stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, HCA's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 18 to Feb 17, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.85%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is HCA's strongest seasonal pattern?
HCA's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 18 – Feb 17 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.85%.
When has HCA historically performed worst?
HCA's weakest recurring window has been Sep 8 to Oct 8, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.11%.
How reliable are HCA's seasonal patterns?
Each HCA pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. HCA currently shows 760 recurring windows (610 bullish, 150 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is HCA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing HCA Healthcare's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HCA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.