Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for HCC — the calendar windows where Warrior Met Coal, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 9 years of price history. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 9 available years.

Patterns found
925
Upcoming this year
45
Bullish windows
733
Best win rate
100%

HCC seasonality at a glance

Over the last 9 years, HCC's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 20 – Jan 19: it ended higher in 8 of 8 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.46% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, HCC has historically declined between Mar 4 – Mar 24, falling in 8 of 8 years (average -11.51%).

In total, our analysis finds 925 recurring seasonal windows for Warrior Met Coal, Inc.733 bullish and 192 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Aug 29, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

HCC's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 3d agoJul 4 – Jul 2420d+4.78%89%+0.27%
Completedended 4d agoJul 3 – Jul 2320d+4.37%89%+0.27%
Upcomingin 23dAug 19 – Aug 2910d+5.90%89%
Upcomingin 54dSep 19 – Oct 1930d+4.95%89%
Upcomingin 55dSep 20 – Oct 2030d+6.32%89%
Upcomingin 56dSep 21 – Oct 1120d+8.16%89%
Upcomingin 56dSep 21 – Oct 2130d+8.58%89%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore HCC seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

HCC seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy HCC stock?

Based on the last 9 years of price data, HCC's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 20 to Jan 19, which ended higher in 8 of 8 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +12.46%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is HCC's strongest seasonal pattern?

HCC's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 20 – Jan 19 window (30-day hold): up in 8 of the last 8 years with an average move of +12.46%.

When has HCC historically performed worst?

HCC's weakest recurring window has been Mar 4 to Mar 24, declining in 8 of 8 years with an average return of -11.51%.

How reliable are HCC's seasonal patterns?

Each HCC pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 9 years it repeated in the same direction. HCC currently shows 925 recurring windows (733 bullish, 192 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is HCC stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HCC has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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