Home Depot (The) (HD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for HD — the calendar windows where Home Depot (The) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
HD seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, HD's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 5 – Aug 4: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.83% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, HD has historically declined between May 12 – May 22, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.18%).
In total, our analysis finds 621 recurring seasonal windows for Home Depot (The) — 499 bullish and 122 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 6 – Sep 5, opens in 10 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
HD's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +4.41% | 90% | +0.08% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +4.42% | 90% | +1.48% |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +2.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | +2.86% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 90d | Oct 25 – Nov 14 | 20d | +1.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 91d | Oct 26 – Nov 15 | 20d | +1.96% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 92d | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +2.84% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore HD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
HD seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy HD stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, HD's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 5 to Aug 4, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.83%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is HD's strongest seasonal pattern?
HD's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 5 – Aug 4 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.83%.
When has HD historically performed worst?
HD's weakest recurring window has been May 12 to May 22, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.18%.
How reliable are HD's seasonal patterns?
Each HD pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. HD currently shows 621 recurring windows (499 bullish, 122 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is HD stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Home Depot (The)'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.