Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for HGV — the calendar windows where Hilton Grand Vacations has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 9 years of price history. Hilton Grand Vacations has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 9 available years.
HGV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 9 years, HGV's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 20 – Jan 19: it ended higher in 8 of 8 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, HGV has historically declined between Feb 21 – Mar 23, falling in 9 of 9 years (average -10.34%).
In total, our analysis finds 863 recurring seasonal windows for Hilton Grand Vacations — 565 bullish and 298 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 19, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
HGV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +2.74% | 89% | +1.73% |
| Completedended 11d ago | Jul 6 – Jul 16 | 10d | +3.52% | 89% | +0.14% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 19 | 20d | -6.29% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 29 | 20d | +6.07% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 19d | Aug 15 – Sep 4 | 20d | +5.47% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 22d | Aug 18 – Aug 28 | 10d | +5.45% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 77d | Oct 12 – Oct 22 | 10d | +3.30% | 89% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore HGV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
HGV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy HGV stock?
Based on the last 9 years of price data, HGV's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 20 to Jan 19, which ended higher in 8 of 8 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is HGV's strongest seasonal pattern?
HGV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 20 – Jan 19 window (30-day hold): up in 8 of the last 8 years with an average move of +7.12%.
When has HGV historically performed worst?
HGV's weakest recurring window has been Feb 21 to Mar 23, declining in 9 of 9 years with an average return of -10.34%.
How reliable are HGV's seasonal patterns?
Each HGV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 9 years it repeated in the same direction. HGV currently shows 863 recurring windows (565 bullish, 298 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is HGV stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Hilton Grand Vacations's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HGV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.