Home BancShares (HOMB) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for HOMB — the calendar windows where Home BancShares has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
HOMB seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, HOMB's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 2 – Dec 2: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.35% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, HOMB has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -9.56%).
In total, our analysis finds 685 recurring seasonal windows for Home BancShares — 425 bullish and 260 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 15 – Sep 25, opens in 4 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
HOMB's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 44d ago | Jun 29 – Jul 29 | 30d | +4.88% | 80% | +9.25% |
| Completedended 45d ago | Jun 28 – Jul 28 | 30d | +5.57% | 90% | +7.44% |
| Upcomingin 4d | Sep 15 – Sep 25 | 10d | -1.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Sep 16 – Sep 26 | 10d | -2.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Sep 27 | 10d | -1.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Sep 18 – Sep 28 | 10d | -1.01% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -1.52% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore HOMB seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
HOMB seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy HOMB stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, HOMB's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 2 to Dec 2, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.35%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is HOMB's strongest seasonal pattern?
HOMB's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 2 – Dec 2 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.35%.
When has HOMB historically performed worst?
HOMB's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -9.56%.
How reliable are HOMB's seasonal patterns?
Each HOMB pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. HOMB currently shows 685 recurring windows (425 bullish, 260 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is HOMB stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Home BancShares's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HOMB has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.