Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ITW — the calendar windows where Illinois Tool Works has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ITW seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ITW's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 24 – Nov 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.11% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ITW has historically declined between Jun 7 – Jun 27, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.53%).
In total, our analysis finds 449 recurring seasonal windows for Illinois Tool Works — 377 bullish and 72 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 10 – Aug 30, opens in 14 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ITW's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +2.78% | 80% | +1.52% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +3.10% | 90% | +1.52% |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 30 | 20d | +1.02% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +5.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 76d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +6.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 77d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +6.49% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 78d | Oct 13 – Nov 12 | 30d | +6.11% | 100% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ITW seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ITW seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ITW stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ITW's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 24 to Nov 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.11%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ITW's strongest seasonal pattern?
ITW's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 24 – Nov 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.11%.
When has ITW historically performed worst?
ITW's weakest recurring window has been Jun 7 to Jun 27, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.53%.
How reliable are ITW's seasonal patterns?
Each ITW pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ITW currently shows 449 recurring windows (377 bullish, 72 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ITW stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Illinois Tool Works's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ITW has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.