Jefferies (JEF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for JEF — the calendar windows where Jefferies has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
JEF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, JEF's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 27 – Jul 27: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.03% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, JEF has historically declined between Mar 3 – Apr 2, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -7.58%).
In total, our analysis finds 758 recurring seasonal windows for Jefferies — 583 bullish and 175 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 26 – Oct 6, opens in 15 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
JEF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 2d ago | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | +1.48% | 80% | +0.63% |
| Completedended 9d ago | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | +1.68% | 80% | +1.09% |
| Upcomingin 15d | Sep 26 – Oct 6 | 10d | +2.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +5.45% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Oct 21 | 10d | +2.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +7.76% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Oct 22 | 10d | +2.25% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore JEF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
JEF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy JEF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, JEF's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 27 to Jul 27, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.03%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is JEF's strongest seasonal pattern?
JEF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 27 – Jul 27 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +11.03%.
When has JEF historically performed worst?
JEF's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Apr 2, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -7.58%.
How reliable are JEF's seasonal patterns?
Each JEF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. JEF currently shows 758 recurring windows (583 bullish, 175 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is JEF stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Jefferies's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where JEF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.