JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for JPM — the calendar windows where JPMorgan Chase has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
JPM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, JPM's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 11 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.84% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, JPM has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -6.24%).
In total, our analysis finds 757 recurring seasonal windows for JPMorgan Chase — 620 bullish and 137 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Aug 29, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
JPM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +3.06% | 80% | +5.08% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +5.96% | 80% | +5.41% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Aug 29 | 10d | +1.65% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Aug 30 | 10d | +1.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 1 | 10d | +1.31% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 41d | Sep 6 – Oct 6 | 30d | +1.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Sep 8 – Oct 8 | 30d | +2.07% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore JPM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
JPM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy JPM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, JPM's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 11 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.84%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is JPM's strongest seasonal pattern?
JPM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 11 – Nov 10 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.84%.
When has JPM historically performed worst?
JPM's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -6.24%.
How reliable are JPM's seasonal patterns?
Each JPM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. JPM currently shows 757 recurring windows (620 bullish, 137 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is JPM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing JPMorgan Chase's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where JPM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.