SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for KRE — the calendar windows where SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
KRE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, KRE's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 27 – Nov 26: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.00% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, KRE has historically declined between Mar 5 – Apr 4, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -10.05%).
In total, our analysis finds 700 recurring seasonal windows for SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF — 497 bullish and 203 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 21 – Aug 31, opens in 25 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
KRE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +6.03% | 80% | +1.60% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +4.00% | 80% | +0.17% |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Aug 31 | 10d | +1.28% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Aug 27 – Sep 26 | 30d | -1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 37d | Sep 2 – Sep 22 | 20d | -1.54% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 54d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -1.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 68d | Oct 3 – Nov 2 | 30d | +3.28% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore KRE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
KRE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy KRE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, KRE's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 27 to Nov 26, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.00%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is KRE's strongest seasonal pattern?
KRE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 27 – Nov 26 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.00%.
When has KRE historically performed worst?
KRE's weakest recurring window has been Mar 5 to Apr 4, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -10.05%.
How reliable are KRE's seasonal patterns?
Each KRE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. KRE currently shows 700 recurring windows (497 bullish, 203 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is KRE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where KRE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.