LGI Homes (LGIH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for LGIH — the calendar windows where LGI Homes has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
LGIH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, LGIH's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 26 – Jul 16: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.79% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, LGIH has historically declined between Aug 31 – Sep 10, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.45%).
In total, our analysis finds 841 recurring seasonal windows for LGI Homes — 512 bullish and 329 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 21 – Sep 10, opens in 25 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
LGIH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +3.83% | 90% | +0.99% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +12.45% | 90% | +4.05% |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | -3.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 11 | 20d | -2.26% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 34d | Aug 30 – Sep 19 | 20d | -3.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Aug 31 – Sep 10 | 10d | -3.45% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Aug 31 – Sep 20 | 20d | -4.86% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore LGIH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
LGIH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy LGIH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, LGIH's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 26 to Jul 16, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.79%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is LGIH's strongest seasonal pattern?
LGIH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 26 – Jul 16 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +10.79%.
When has LGIH historically performed worst?
LGIH's weakest recurring window has been Aug 31 to Sep 10, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.45%.
How reliable are LGIH's seasonal patterns?
Each LGIH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. LGIH currently shows 841 recurring windows (512 bullish, 329 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is LGIH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing LGI Homes's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where LGIH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.