iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for LQD — the calendar windows where iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
LQD seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, LQD's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 22 – Jul 22: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.74% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, LQD has historically declined between Sep 7 – Oct 7, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.36%).
In total, our analysis finds 226 recurring seasonal windows for iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF — 169 bullish and 57 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 21 – Oct 11, opens in 10 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
LQD's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 68d ago | Jun 5 – Jul 5 | 30d | +1.14% | 80% | +0.79% |
| Completedended 69d ago | Jun 14 – Jul 4 | 20d | +1.38% | 80% | +0.01% |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 11 | 20d | -1.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Oct 1 – Oct 21 | 20d | -1.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Oct 1 – Oct 31 | 30d | -1.10% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Oct 2 – Oct 22 | 20d | -1.01% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 51d | Nov 1 – Dec 1 | 30d | +1.69% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore LQD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
LQD seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy LQD stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, LQD's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 22 to Jul 22, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.74%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is LQD's strongest seasonal pattern?
LQD's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 22 – Jul 22 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.74%.
When has LQD historically performed worst?
LQD's weakest recurring window has been Sep 7 to Oct 7, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.36%.
How reliable are LQD's seasonal patterns?
Each LQD pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. LQD currently shows 226 recurring windows (169 bullish, 57 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is LQD stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where LQD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.