Southwest Airlines (LUV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for LUV — the calendar windows where Southwest Airlines has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
LUV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, LUV's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 27 – Nov 16: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.22% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, LUV has historically declined between Jul 15 – Aug 4, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.84%).
In total, our analysis finds 764 recurring seasonal windows for Southwest Airlines — 447 bullish and 317 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 12, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
LUV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Jun 16 – Jul 16 | 30d | +3.59% | 80% | +4.22% |
| Completedended 55d ago | May 23 – Jun 2 | 10d | +2.90% | 80% | +3.62% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | -1.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +2.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +1.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 18 | 30d | +3.38% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | +3.37% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore LUV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
LUV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy LUV stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, LUV's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 27 to Nov 16, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.22%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is LUV's strongest seasonal pattern?
LUV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 27 – Nov 16 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.22%.
When has LUV historically performed worst?
LUV's weakest recurring window has been Jul 15 to Aug 4, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.84%.
How reliable are LUV's seasonal patterns?
Each LUV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. LUV currently shows 764 recurring windows (447 bullish, 317 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is LUV stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Southwest Airlines's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where LUV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.