Macy's (M) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for M — the calendar windows where Macy's has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
M seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, M's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 28 – Nov 27: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +18.71% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, M has historically declined between Mar 17 – Apr 16, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.99%).
In total, our analysis finds 824 recurring seasonal windows for Macy's — 408 bullish and 416 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 12 – Aug 22, opens in 16 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
M's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +1.00% | 80% | +2.41% |
| Completedended 35d ago | Jun 12 – Jun 22 | 10d | -3.69% | 90% | -2.06% |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Aug 22 | 10d | -4.64% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 50d | Sep 15 – Sep 25 | 10d | -2.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 56d | Sep 21 – Oct 21 | 30d | +4.99% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 57d | Sep 22 – Oct 22 | 30d | +6.47% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +6.82% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore M seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
M seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy M stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, M's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 28 to Nov 27, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +18.71%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is M's strongest seasonal pattern?
M's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 28 – Nov 27 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +18.71%.
When has M historically performed worst?
M's weakest recurring window has been Mar 17 to Apr 16, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.99%.
How reliable are M's seasonal patterns?
Each M pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. M currently shows 824 recurring windows (408 bullish, 416 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is M stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Macy's's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where M has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.