Marriott International (MAR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MAR — the calendar windows where Marriott International has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MAR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MAR's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 26 – Nov 25: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.46% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MAR has historically declined between Mar 1 – Mar 11, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.81%).
In total, our analysis finds 746 recurring seasonal windows for Marriott International — 559 bullish and 187 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 17 – Sep 6, opens in 21 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MAR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 15d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 12 | 10d | +1.71% | 90% | +0.85% |
| Completedended 16d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 11 | 10d | +1.59% | 90% | +2.12% |
| Upcomingin 21d | Aug 17 – Sep 6 | 20d | +1.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Aug 17 – Sep 16 | 30d | +3.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | +1.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | +1.33% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 11 | 20d | +1.12% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MAR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MAR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MAR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MAR's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 26 to Nov 25, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.46%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MAR's strongest seasonal pattern?
MAR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 26 – Nov 25 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +11.46%.
When has MAR historically performed worst?
MAR's weakest recurring window has been Mar 1 to Mar 11, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.81%.
How reliable are MAR's seasonal patterns?
Each MAR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MAR currently shows 746 recurring windows (559 bullish, 187 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MAR stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Marriott International's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MAR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.