Mattel (MAT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MAT — the calendar windows where Mattel has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MAT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MAT's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 20 – Jan 9: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.77% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, MAT has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -9.80%).
In total, our analysis finds 825 recurring seasonal windows for Mattel — 444 bullish and 381 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 7 – Sep 6, opens in 11 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MAT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +4.81% | 80% | +3.67% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jun 21 – Jul 21 | 30d | +4.62% | 80% | +1.14% |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | -3.94% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Sep 11 | 30d | -3.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Aug 14 – Sep 3 | 20d | -3.32% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Aug 14 – Sep 13 | 30d | -2.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 19d | Aug 15 – Sep 14 | 30d | -2.01% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MAT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MAT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MAT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MAT's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 20 to Jan 9, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.77%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MAT's strongest seasonal pattern?
MAT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 20 – Jan 9 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.77%.
When has MAT historically performed worst?
MAT's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -9.80%.
How reliable are MAT's seasonal patterns?
Each MAT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MAT currently shows 825 recurring windows (444 bullish, 381 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MAT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Mattel's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MAT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.