Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MBIN — the calendar windows where Merchants Bancorp has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 9 years of price history. Merchants Bancorp has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 9 available years.
MBIN seasonality at a glance
Over the last 9 years, MBIN's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 30 – Nov 29: it ended higher in 9 of 9 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.98% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MBIN has historically declined between Mar 26 – Apr 15, falling in 7 of 8 years (average -6.75%).
In total, our analysis finds 819 recurring seasonal windows for Merchants Bancorp — 566 bullish and 253 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 18 – Sep 28, opens in 53 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MBIN's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 37d ago | Jun 10 – Jun 20 | 10d | -1.79% | 88% | -0.81% |
| Completedended 59d ago | Apr 29 – May 29 | 30d | +2.76% | 88% | +4.76% |
| Upcomingin 53d | Sep 18 – Sep 28 | 10d | -3.85% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 53d | Sep 18 – Oct 8 | 20d | -3.69% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 54d | Sep 19 – Oct 9 | 20d | -3.20% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 80d | Oct 15 – Nov 14 | 30d | +6.69% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 81d | Oct 16 – Nov 15 | 30d | +8.04% | 88% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MBIN seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MBIN seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MBIN stock?
Based on the last 9 years of price data, MBIN's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 30 to Nov 29, which ended higher in 9 of 9 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.98%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MBIN's strongest seasonal pattern?
MBIN's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 30 – Nov 29 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 9 years with an average move of +9.98%.
When has MBIN historically performed worst?
MBIN's weakest recurring window has been Mar 26 to Apr 15, declining in 7 of 8 years with an average return of -6.75%.
How reliable are MBIN's seasonal patterns?
Each MBIN pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 9 years it repeated in the same direction. MBIN currently shows 819 recurring windows (566 bullish, 253 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MBIN stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Merchants Bancorp's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MBIN has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.