LVMH (MC.PA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MC.PA — the calendar windows where LVMH has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MC.PA seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MC.PA's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 17 – Feb 16: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.86% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MC.PA has historically declined between Apr 27 – May 7, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.20%).
In total, our analysis finds 659 recurring seasonal windows for LVMH — 520 bullish and 139 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 22 – Oct 22, opens in 11 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MC.PA's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 60d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 13 | 20d | +2.47% | 80% | +1.61% |
| Completedended 98d ago | May 26 – Jun 5 | 10d | +2.04% | 80% | +2.10% |
| Upcomingin 11d | Sep 22 – Oct 22 | 30d | +3.11% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Sep 23 – Oct 23 | 30d | +2.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 14 | 20d | +1.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +3.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Sep 25 – Oct 15 | 20d | +2.39% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MC.PA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MC.PA seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MC.PA stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MC.PA's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 17 to Feb 16, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.86%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MC.PA's strongest seasonal pattern?
MC.PA's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 17 – Feb 16 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.86%.
When has MC.PA historically performed worst?
MC.PA's weakest recurring window has been Apr 27 to May 7, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.20%.
How reliable are MC.PA's seasonal patterns?
Each MC.PA pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MC.PA currently shows 659 recurring windows (520 bullish, 139 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MC.PA stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing LVMH's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MC.PA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.